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Mon, 01 Jan 0001 00:00:00 +0000

Abstract

Adapting to the increasing threat of natural hazards is one of the most pressing current societal issues.

Specifically, seismic risk reduction and adaptation of complex intertwined industrial facilities are keys for an effective EU green transition. Nevertheless, the most common policies still rely only on static risk analyses, neglecting temporal and spatial interactions. In fact, no one has yet tackled the critical aspect of industrial system adaptation, accounting for the dynamics of the hazard, of the system itself and its recovery processes.

This comes with no surprises, as system adaptation is a highly complex stochastic process, deeply rooted into the future, where uncertainties at all levels play a crucial role. This critical research gap is filled with the “Seismic Risk Reduction and Adaptation for Complex Time-dependent Industrial Systems” (REACTIS) project, which is the first integrated Uncertainty Quantification (UQ)-based methodology that aims to solve these open questions. The project will examine the stochastic dynamics of the performance of industrial facilities subjected to time-variant seismic hazards.

In particular, the recovery processes of the systems will be deepened and treated from a UQ and stochastic dynamics perspective. Building upon preliminary collaboration, the project will focus on the stochastic dynamics and recovery of a single 1-node system. Then, a real-world complex industrial case study will be deployed. Leveraging concepts from spatial statistics and graph theory, the intertwined network topology of the industrial system will be mapped. Specifically, the evolution of the dynamics of the system will be extended to m-nodes, initially deterministic, then random, network configurations.

Finally, our research will encompass an in-depth analysis of seismic risk and adaptation strategies formulation. This effort aims to identify the criticalities and vulnerabilities within the industrial system networks.

Funding Scheme

Funded by the European Union. Views and opinions expressed are however those of the author(s) only and do not necessarily reflect those of the European Union or The European Research Executive Agency. Neither the European Union nor the granting authority can be held responsible for them. GA n°101147351 “Seismic Risk Reduction and Adaptation for Complex Timedependent Industrial Systems REACTIS”.

Fig 1: Schema del sistema industriale REACTIS

REACTIS |

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